Consulting Resources Corporation
Quality Service Since 1981
Biotechnology is poised to be one of the most influential industries of the twenty first century. We apply our understanding of this challenging, fast-growing industry to help clients maximize their profits. To request information on how our biotech consulting can help you, click here.
Despite some occasional difficulties
and setbacks, the global biotechnology industry continues to show
impressive promise. We expect world biotech product sales to reach $120 billion in 2013.
The key to industry growth remains in human therapeutics, although
diagnostics, including work on bioterrorism detection and defense,
have recently gained in importance. CRC analysts expect U.S.
biotechnology product sales to grow at an average annual rate of 11
percent over the coming decade, approaching $66 B dollars by 2013.
Human Therapeutics
By far the largest of the five biotechnology categories, human
therapeutics will maintain this position well into the 21st century.
Over the next decade, biotech-based U.S. human therapeutics sales
should grow at an average annual rate of 11 percent, from $17 B in
2003 to approximately $50 B in 2013.
Human Diagnostics
This remains the second largest segment in the biotech industry. As
new genetics-based technologies are developed, human diagnostics
sales are expected to grow at an average annual rate of seven
percent, from about $3.1 B in 2003 to $6.1 B in 2013.
Agriculture
Though this segment represents a much smaller biotech market than
both human therapeutics and diagnostics, it will grow somewhat more
rapidly. Consulting Resources expects U.S. agbio product sales to
enjoy an average annual growth rate of 14 percent, increasing from
$1.6 B in 2003 to $5.9 B in 2013. Although protests against the use
of GMO’s have occured, this issue has continued to fade as public concern is
shifted towards more immediate threats. The use of genetically
modified corn in the United States is expected to remain relatively
steady, while the use of genetically modified soybeans is expected to
grow significantly in the next several years.
Specialties
Specialties are expected to grow at an average annual rate of 13
percent, from more than $840 million (MM) in 2003 to about $2.9 B in 2013, making
this the second fastest growing segment in the U.S., after
agriculture. The sector is comprised of chemical and biological
products created using biotechnology, including enzymes and bioplastics.
Non-medical diagnostics
This sector constitutes the smallest of the five market segments. It
includes diagnostics for food contaminants, such as pesticides and
other hazardous chemicals. U.S. non-medical diagnostics sales are
expected to grow at an average annual rate of 10 percent, from
almost $430 MM in 2003 to about $1.1 B in 2013.
Several bioterrorism attacks in the United States, in
2001, brought with them a surge of interest in the
non-medical diagnostics sector. As a result, numerous biotechnology
companies have begun to develop tests for potential bioterrorism agents.
Among the many companies working on developing rapid diagnostic
tests in this area are Cepheid (Sunnyvale, CA) and Nanogen (San
Diego, CA). The Bush administration's budget proposal for fiscal 2004
includes more than $120 B for bio-defense related R&D, which will help
ensure growth in this field.
For more information regarding how we can help satisfy your consulting needs in this and other industries covered by Consulting
Resources, please
contact us with your
questions.
U.S. BIOTECHNOLOGY PRODUCT SALES
FORECAST*
(millions of dollars)
|
Base Year |
|
'03-'13 Growth |
||||||
|
Key Sectors |
2003 | 2008 | 2013 | (ppa) | ||||
| Human Therapeutics | 17,000 | 30,000 | 50,000 | 11 | ||||
| Human Diagnostics | 3,130 | 4,600 | 6,100 | 7 | ||||
| Agriculture | 1,600 | 3,200 | 5,900 | 14 | ||||
| Specialties | 845 | 1,600 | 2,900 | 13 | ||||
|
Non-Medical Diagnostics |
425 | 700 | 1,100 | 10 | ||||
|
TOTAL |
23,000 |
40,100 |
66,000 |
11 | ||||
| Source: Consulting Resources Corporation | ||||||||
* To be conservative, our sales forecasts for agriculture include genetically enhanced crops on a value-added bases, rather than on the basis of total seed or crop revenues.